By major city, Toronto will see a marked decline in its new condo market next year. Ottawa will hang in relatively well, since it is the epitome of a government town and employment is relatively assured. Montréal is the major urban centre in a regional economy that is suffering along with the U.S. recession.
Edmonton has recorded a greater than 50% drop in starts in 2008 and should level out next year. Calgary’s new housing market will be held back by an energy sector that is struggling with oil prices at only one-third of their peak value. Vancouver is the major player in a provincial economy that, through its forestry sector, will pick up in activity faster than any other region in Canada, once U.S. housing starts show some signs of life.
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